I predict that Jay Severin is wrong

Jay has a nice way of making predictions that can’t be proven wrong. He won’t say “this is what’s going to happen.” He’ll say “it is looking more and more likely that this will happen.” Then if it happens, he says “as I predicted ….” And if it doesn’t happen and someone dares challenge his foresight, he’ll say “I didn’t say it was going to happen, I said it was looking more and more likely, and it would have happened if not for ….”

His latest quasi-prediction is that there will be a third political party by 2012 that will not only rival the Republicans and Democrats but will represent “an overwhelming majority of the vote.” Of course, he doesn’t say that will happen. He says that this scenario is “increasingly realistic” and “absolutely plausible.”

I say that ain’t gonna happen. Period. If it does – in fact, if the total number of House and Senate members seated in January 2013 belonging to a party that is neither Republican nor Democrat exceeds 50 – I’ll quit this blog and send $100 to whatever that third party is. Go ahead … prove me wrong.

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2 Comments

  1. Ash
    Posted April 27, 2010 at 2:19 pm | Permalink

    Jay is most of the times wrong but yet he needs a self pat on the shoulders and I quote ‘In my 25 years of making a living in politics I bla bla bla bla. Yet his predictions about Hilary CLinton were wrong.

    Still very surpising how this guy can fool people on the Radio. He is entertaining though with his use of complex words and his constant ladies man talks….wait he doesnt do that anymore. He talks about his family now and not Asian women.

    How disrespectful of him seriously. You have a wife but you brag about how you paid for escorts and how you love Asian women.

  2. Mr. X
    Posted May 20, 2010 at 9:08 pm | Permalink

    Actually, in the spring and summer of 2008, Severin predicted — repeatedly — that Obama would not be elected POTUS. In fact, he said, over and over, the following: “not only isn’t Baraka Obama going to be elected President of the United States, he CANNOT be elected President of the United States.” Usually preceded by all the stuff about his 20+years as a political “pro.” Severin is almost always wrong, which is what makes his constant predicting — whether qualified, as in the case of the “third party,” or unqualified, as in the case of Obama-can-never-be-elected — so amusing. Keeps me listening.

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